ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕ МЕТОДА МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЯ В АНАЛИЗЕ ФАКТОРОВ СМЕРТНОСТИ ТРУДОСПОСОБНОГО НАСЕЛЕНИЯ В РЕГИОНАХ РОССИИ
Аннотация
Рассмотрена динамика коэффициента смертности населения в трудоспособном возрасте в регионах России. На примере 10 регионов Европейской части России проанализировано воздействие 9 социально-экономических факторов на показатель смертности трудоспособного населения. Для анализа коэффици-ента смертности трудоспособного населения построены различные виды моделей тренда. С помощью метода статистического моделирования выделены группы факторов по степени влияния на смерт-ность трудоспособного населения. Выявлено, что наибольшее влияние на смертность в России оказы-вают среднедушевые денежные доходы населения, уровень безработицы, число погибших в дорожно-транспортных происшествиях, число собственных легковых автомобилей и число зарегистрирован-ных преступлений.
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