USING THE MODELING METHOD IN THE ANALYSIS OF MORTALITY FACTORS OF THE WORKING-AGE POPULATION IN THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA

  • Ольга Владимировна Сизова
  • Алла Борисовна Берендеева
  • Наталья Сергеевна Рычихина
Keywords: statistical modeling of demographic processes, able-bodied population, ogarithmic models of trends

Abstract

Dynamics of mortality rate of the population at working-age in regions of Russia is considered. On the example

of 10 regions of the European part of Russia impact of 9 socio-economic factors on an indicator of mortality

of able-bodied population is analysed. For the analysis of mortality rate of able-bodied population different types of

models of a trend are constructed. By means of a method of statistical modeling groups of factors on extent of influence

on mortality of able-bodied population are allocated. It is revealed that in Russia average monetary per capita

income of the population, unemployment rate, the death toll in the road accidents, number of own cars and number

of the registered crimes has the greatest impact on mortality.

References

Economic systems: modeling, analysis and forecasting: monograph / ed. prof. V.A. Zaitseva; Ivan state

Chem. technol. un-t - Ivanovo, 2008 .- 367 p.

Alimuradova M.A. The effect of mortality of the able-bodied population on the demographic characteristics

of the population of the region / M.A. Alimuradova [Electronic resource]. URL:

https://srtv.gks.ru/storage/mediabank/Alimuradova_article.pdf (accessed: 02.09.2020)

Askarov R.A. Integral assessment of the influence of socio-economic, environmental factors on mortality

of the working-age population / R.A. Askarov, I.A. Luckman, Z.F. Askarova, B.A. Bakirov // Economics and

Management: scientific-practical. Journal. - 2019 .- No. 6 (150). - Р. 144-148.

Berendeeva A.B., Rychikhina N.S., Korobova O.O. The role of economic factors in the reproduction of

the regional structure of the population by sex (for example, the regions of the Upper Volga) // Modern high technology.

Regional application. Ser. Economic sciences. 2019.No 2.P. 9-18.

Berendeeva A.B., Sizova O.V. Analysis of factors of mortality of the working-age population in the regions

of the Russian Federation by modeling method // Electronic scientific journal "Theoretical Economics". 2020.

No. 4 (64). [Electronic resource]. URL: https: //www.theoreticaleconomy.ru/index.php/our-services (accessed date:

/12/2020)

Derstuganova T.M. The influence of socio-economic factors on mortality of the working-age population

(on the example of the Sverdlovsk region) / T.M. Derstuganova, B.T. Velichkovsky, V. B. Gurvich et al. // Public

Health and Habitat. - 2013. - No. 9 (246). - Р. 12-14.

Izmerov N.F. The health problems of the working population in Russia / N.F. Izmerov G.I. Tikhonova //

Problems of forecasting. - 2011. - No. 3 (126). - Р. 56-70.

Migranova L.A., Toksanbaeva M.S. The human potential of the population of the Russian regions: level

and dynamics of development // Living standards of the population of the regions of Russia 2018. No. 2 (208). S.

-59; No. 3 (209) S. 59-72.

Mikhailova Yu.V. The effectiveness of medical care provided on an outpatient basis as a factor in reducing

the mortality of the working-age population / Yu.V. Mikhailova, N.A. Golubev, T.P. Sabgaida, A.Yu. Mikhailov

// Social aspects of public health. - 2019 .- T. 65. - No. 2. [Electronic resource]. URL:

http://vestnik.mednet.ru/content/view/1055/30/lang,ru/ (accessed: 24.02.2020)

Morev M.V. Assessment of demographic and socio-economic losses due to premature mortality of the

population of Russia and the Volodsk region / M.V. Morev, A.V. Korolenko // Problems of forecasting. - 2018. -

No. 2. - P. 110-123.

Rybakovsky O. L., Sudoplatova V. S., Tayunova O. A. The potential to reduce mortality in the Russian

population // Sociological studies. 2017. No 3. S. 29-42.

Stratiychuk Yu.G., Oreshkina A.V., Fishchenko I.K. Statistical analysis of the mortality rate of the

able-bodied population in the Far Eastern Federal District // European Research: Sat. articles of the winners of X

International scientific-practical Conf. (Penza, May 20, 2017); at 3 p.m. Penza, 2017.S. 204-211.

Florinskaya Yu.F. Losses of the life potential of the population // Ecological Atlas of Russia. M .: Map,

S. 102-105

Cheshik I.A. Epidemiology of the most common risk factors affecting the development of circulatory

system diseases and their contribution to the mortality of the male working-age population / I.A. Cheshik, T.M.

Sharshakova // Problems of health and ecology. - 2018 .- No. 1 (55). - P. 8-15.

Shabunova A.A. Premature mortality as a cause of economic losses in a region / A.A. Shabunova, M.D.

Duganov, K.N. Kalashnikov // Health of the Russian Federation. - 2012. - No. 3. - Р. 26-30.

International classification of diseases of the 10th revision. ICD-10: Class XXI. Factors affecting the

state of public health and treatment in health facilities URL: https://mkb-10.com/index.php?pid=2200 (accessed:

14.2020)

On the supermortality of men of working age, longevity and some modern views on the causes of

premature mortality of the population // Medical statistics and organizational methodology in healthcare institutions.

The demographic yearbook of Russia. 2019: Statsb. / Rosstat. M., 2019 .252 p.

Regions of Russia. The main characteristics of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. 2019:

Stat. Sat / Rosstat. M., 2019. 751 р.

Regions of Russia. Socio-economic indicators. 2019: Stat. Sat / Rosstat. M., 2019. 1204 p.

Published
2020-06-26
How to Cite
Сизова, О., Берендеева, А., & Рычихина, Н. (2020). USING THE MODELING METHOD IN THE ANALYSIS OF MORTALITY FACTORS OF THE WORKING-AGE POPULATION IN THE REGIONS OF RUSSIA. Modern High Technologies. Regional Application, 62(2), 62-73. Retrieved from https://snt-isuct.ru/article/view/2741
Section
Экономические науки

Most read articles by the same author(s)

<< < 1 2 3 4 > >>